Phillies' 2022 GDT #151: 09/24/22 Braves(93-58) @ Phillies(83-67) - 4:05pm

Moderator: Christopher

therealdemps
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Joined: Mon Jan 17, 2022 12:33 am

Re: Phillies' 2022 GDT #151: 09/24/22 Braves(93-58) @ Phillies(83-67) - 4:05pm

Post by therealdemps »

Fangraphs has their current playoff odds at 87% but some fossils out there will tell you that doesn’t factor in “their experience of watching the 1964 Phillies,” a roster made up of mostly dead guys that is, of course, very relevant to the 2022 team.
FolesMVP09
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Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2021 10:55 pm

Re: Phillies' 2022 GDT #151: 09/24/22 Braves(93-58) @ Phillies(83-67) - 4:05pm

Post by FolesMVP09 »

therealdemps wrote: Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:45 am Fangraphs has their current playoff odds at 87% but some fossils out there will tell you that doesn’t factor in “their experience of watching the 1964 Phillies,” a roster made up of mostly dead guys that is, of course, very relevant to the 2022 team.
Since I wasn't alive in 1964 and I don't recall making one reference to it, your post is as meaningful as some of the stats that you posted. My trauma point is actually game 3 of the 77 NLCS.

IIRC, you liked to gamble on games. Do you have a bet on the Phillies that you are worried about and that is why you lashed out?

I have been down on this team all month, I don't care about stats or %s that may not indicate what is happening now as opposed to over the course of 150 games or skewed by a few high scoring games. I base my opinions on what I see on the field. A # of posters here and on twitter have continued to raise varying concerns about this team night after night. I am not the only one with doubt. They are 10-10 this month and have a lot of issues. If the 87% probability, makes you feel better, great.

I hope that the Phils make the playoffs. If they do, I'll be here posting. If they don't, I'll be here posting. I don't just pop in to post negativity or to attack other posters. It would be great if you contributed regularly.

If the Phillies do fall short, we will see if you do a mea-culpa, just lash out more, or not post.
Christopher
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Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2021 2:18 pm

Re: Phillies' 2022 GDT #151: 09/24/22 Braves(93-58) @ Phillies(83-67) - 4:05pm

Post by Christopher »

therealdemps wrote: Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:19 am The Phillies are going to finish ahead of the Brewers because at the end of the day they are a better team. Better record, run differential, head to head, BaseRuns, etc. A team who is 7th in runs per game and 5th in team wRC+ in September does not have a “garbage offense most nights.”

Wag your finger with your phony “realism” that, if we’re being honest, is mostly a transparent, lame defense mechanism against your own feelings, all you want. None of your bottomless black hole of fatalism and doomsaying changes any of the objective data about each team as constructed. Being a miserable prick doesn’t make you smarter or more observant than anyone else.
Yes, but we're into Small Sample Size territory. I agree that the Phillies, objectively, are a better team than the Brewers (though 100% health would be better).

But in the SSS of the final 9/10 games, it's basically a coin flip who will finish ahead of who at this point.
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